Kamala Harris maintains a narrow lead over Donald Trump in national polls. According to recent averages, Harris has a 2.7-point lead over Trump, with some polls showing her ahead by as much as 5 points nationally.
2. How Did the Debate Impact Polls?
The recent presidential debate saw Kamala Harris outperforming Donald Trump in the eyes of many viewers. A CNN survey found that 63% of debate watchers believed Harris delivered a stronger performance, while only 37% favored Trump.
3. What Do Polls Say About Swing States?
In battleground states, the race is tight. Harris leads Trump by an average of +3 points in swing states, with some polls showing her ahead by as much as +7 points in Nevada and +5 points in Pennsylvania.
4. Who is Winning in Key States?
Harris has a strong lead in several key states. She is ahead by 3 points in Michigan, 3 points in Arizona, and 2 points in North Carolina. However, Trump is tied with Harris in Georgia and leads by 2 points in Wisconsin.
5. How Do Demographics Influence Voting Intentions?
Harris retains a strong lead among women, with a 12-point advantage. However, Trump enjoys a 14-point lead among men. Harris also sees a significant increase in support among under-34-year-olds, with a 7% increase to 58% of the vote.
6. What Issues Are Top of Mind for Voters?
The economy remains the top issue for swing state voters. However, the perceived 'competency gap' is shrinking, with 45% of swing state voters believing Harris can better handle the economy, slightly behind Trump at 49%.
7. How Do Polls Reflect Voter Confidence?
Debate watchers expressed mixed confidence in both candidates' leadership abilities. While 54% of viewers expressed at least some level of confidence in both Harris and Trump, only 36% had a lot of confidence in Trump, and 32% in Harris.
8. Did the Debate Change Voter Preferences?
The debate did not significantly impact voter preferences. Among registered voters who viewed the debate, 82% stated it did not alter their presidential preferences. However, 14% indicated it prompted reconsideration without changing their minds.
9. What Do Polls Say About Latino Voters?
Harris leads Trump among Latinos, but the lead is shrinking. A recent NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll showed 54% of Latino voters supported Harris compared to 40% for Trump, with 6% unsure.
10. How Do Recent Polls Compare to Previous Surveys?
Recent polls show a slight decline in Harris's lead over Trump compared to previous surveys. However, Harris still maintains a narrow advantage in most polls, with some showing her ahead by as much as 5 points nationally.
11. Can We Trust the Polls?
Polls are inherently uncertain, especially when the race is close. Historically, polls have underestimated support for Trump, and this election is no exception. Pollsters are working to improve their methods to better reflect the voting population.
