Gael Monfils, currently ranked 46th in the world, is set to face Damir Dzumhur, ranked 94th, in the Round of 128 at the Rolex Shanghai Masters on October 2. The match, scheduled to take place on hard courts, sees Monfils as the clear favorite.
Betting Odds and Predictions
According to the latest betting odds, Monfils has a significant advantage, with a moneyline of -375 compared to Dzumhur's +270. This translates to an implied probability of Monfils winning the match at around 78.9%.
Recent Form and Performance
Monfils has had a mixed season, with a record of 12 wins and 10 losses on hard courts. His most recent match was a loss to Daniil Medvedev in the China Open. Despite this, Monfils has shown resilience and tactical prowess, having won 13 of his last 15 matches as a clear favorite.
Dzumhur, on the other hand, has struggled on hard courts, with a record of 2-10 in his last 10 tournaments on this surface. He was recently defeated by Borna Coric in the qualifying round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships.
Head-to-Head and Court Surface
The two players have not faced each other since 2022, with no recent head-to-head matches to draw from. However, Dzumhur's playing style, which is more suited to clay courts, puts him at a disadvantage on the hard courts of the Shanghai Masters.
Monfils has a strong record on hard courts, winning 81.2% of his service games and 23.7% of his return games over the past year. He has also converted 39.3% of his break points, which places him 59th in this category.
Match Predictions and Betting Tips
Given the form and historical data, the prediction leans heavily towards a Monfils victory. Betting tips suggest taking Monfils with a spread of -4 games, as well as predicting under 22 games in the match and fewer than 9.5 games in the first set.
